CTP NV 2024 年第三季度业绩
CTP REPORTS NET RENTAL INCOME UP 18.2% YOY, COMPANY SPECIFIC ADJUSTED EPRA EPS OF €0.60 ON TRACK TO REACH GUIDANCE AND EPRA NTA PER SHARE UP 10.1% TO €17.52
AMSTERDAM, 6 November 2024 – CTP N.V. (CTPNV.AS), (“CTP”, the “Group” or the “Company”) recorded Rental Income of €488.4 million in the first 9 months of the year, up 15.9% y-o-y. Like-for-like y-o-y rental growth of 4.4%, mainly driven by indexation and reversion on renegotiations and expiring leases. As at 30 September 2024, the annualised rental income came to 702.0 million and occupancy came to 93%.
In the first 9 months, CTP delivered 545,000 sqm at a Yield on Cost (“YoC”) of 10.1% and 95% let at completion, bringing the Group’s standing portfolio to 12.6 million sqm of GLA, while the Gross Asset Value (“GAV”) increased by 11.8% to €15.2 billion. EPRA NTA per share increased by 10.1% in the first half of the year to €17.52.
Company specific adjusted EPRA earnings increased by 13.2% y-o-y to €269.8 million. CTP’s Company specific adjusted EPRA EPS amounted to €0.60, an increase of 11.7%. The Group confirms its €0.80 – €0.82 Company specific adjusted EPRA EPS guidance for 2024.
As at 30 September 2024, projects under construction totaled 1.9 million sqm, with a potential rental income of €142 million when fully leased and an expected YoC of 10.4%. A substantial part of which will be delivered in 2024, as CTP expects to deliver between 1.2 – 1.3 million sqm this year.
The Group’s landbank increased to 27.1 million sqm, of which 20.9 million sqm is owned and on-balance sheet, and secured substantial future growth potential for CTP. With its industry-leading YoC, CTP expects to be able to continue to generate double-digit NTA growth in the years to come.
The annualised rental income amounted to €702 million, illustrating the strong cash flow generation of our standing portfolio with a rent collection rate of 99.8%. While the next growth phase is already locked in with our 1.9 million sqm of GLA under construction and a landbank of over 27 million sqm, we will continue to generate double-digit NTA growth. In addition to the pre-letting for the current pipeline, we had another 177,000 sqm of leases signed for future projects, which we plan to start shortly.
Demand for industrial and logistics real estate in the CEE region is driven by structural demand drivers, such as the professionalization of supply chains by 3PLs, e-commerce, and occupiers nearshoring and friend-shoring, as the CEE region offers the best-cost location in Europe. We have now over 10% of our portfolio leased to Asian tenants which are producing in Europe for Europe, making up around 20% of our overall leasing activity in 2024.”
主要亮点
单位:百万欧元 | 9M-2024 | 9M-2023 | % 变更 | Q3-2024 | Q3-2023 | % 变更 |
总租金收入 | 488.4 | 421.5 | +15.9% | 167.5 | 141.1 | +18.8% |
净租金收入 | 475.9 | 402.6 | +18.2% | 162.1 | 134.1 | +20.8% |
投资性房地产净估值结果 | 604.1 | 656.3 | -8.0% | 167.4 | 239.1 | -30.0% |
本期利润 | 737.0 | 732.8 | +0.6% | 203.3 | 263.1 | -22.7% |
公司特定调整后 EPRA 盈利 | 269.8 | 238.4 | +13.2% | 92.3 | 80.4 | +14.8% |
欧元 | 9M-2024 | 9M-2023 | % 变更 | Q3-2024 | Q3-2023 | % 变更 |
公司特定调整后 EPRA EPS | 0.60 | 0.54 | +11.7% | 0.20 | 0.18 | +12.7% |
单位:百万欧元 | 30 Sept. 2024 | 31 Dec. 2023 |
% 变更 | |||
投资性房地产("IP) | 13,378.5 | 12,039.2 | +11.1% | |||
开发中投资物业(IPuD) | 1,616.4 | 1,359.6 | +18.9% | |||
30 Sept. 2024 | 31 Dec. 2023 |
% 变更 | ||||
每股 EPRA NTA | €17.52 | €15.92 | +10.1% | |||
在建项目的预期年收益率 | 10.4% | 10.3% | ||||
LTV | 44.9% | 46.0% |
租户需求持续强劲推动租金增长
During the first 9 months of 2024, CTP signed leases for 1,495,000 sqm, an increase of 4% compared to 9M-2023, with contracted annual rental income of €100.9 million, and an average monthly rent per sqm of €5.63 (9M-2023: €5.60). Adjusting for the difference in country mix, the rents increased on average by 3%.
按平方米计算的已签订租约 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 年度 | 第四季度 | 风云 |
2022 | 441,000 | 452,000 | 505,000 | 1,398,000 | 485,000 | 1,883,000 |
2023 | 297,000 | 552,000 | 585,000 | 1,435,000 | 542,000 | 1,976,000 |
2024 | 336,000 | 582,000 | 577,000 | 1,495,000 |
每平方米签订的平均月租租赁合同(欧元) | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 年度 | 第四季度 | 风云 |
2022 | 4.87 | 4.89 | 4.75 | 4.82 | 4.80 | 4.82 |
2023 | 5.31 | 5.56 | 5.77 | 5.60 | 5.81 | 5.69 |
2024 | 5.65 | 5.55 | 5.69 | 5.63 |
其中约三分之二是与现有租户签订的租约,这与 CTP 在现有园区与现有租户共同发展的业务模式是一致的。
通过现有投资组合和收购产生现金流
CTP’s average market share in the Czech Republic, Romania, Hungary, and Slovakia increased to 28.5% as at 30 September 2024 and it remains the largest owner and developer of industrial and logistics real estate assets in those markets. The Group is also the market leader in Serbia and Bulgaria.
With over 1,000 clients, CTP has a wide and diversified international tenant base, consisting of blue-chip companies with strong credit ratings. CTP’s tenants represent a broad range of industries, including manufacturing, high-tech/IT, automotive, e-commerce, retail, wholesale, and third-party logistics. The tenant base is highly diversified, with no single tenant accounting for more than 2.5% of its annual rent roll, which leads to a stable income stream. CTP’s top 50 tenants only account for 33.4% of its rent roll and most are in multiple CTParks.
The Company’s occupancy came to 93% (Q3-2023: 93%). The Group’s client retention rate remains strong at 91% (Q3-2023: 92%) and demonstrates CTP’s ability to leverage long-standing client relationships. The portfolio WAULT stood at 6.5 years (Q3-2023: 6.6 years), in line with the Company’s target of >6 years.
Rent collection level stood at 99.8% in 9M-2024 (9M-2023: 99.8%), with no deterioration in the payment profile of tenants.
Rental income amounted to €488.4 million, up 15.9% y-o-y on an absolute basis. On a like-for-like basis, rental income grew 4.4%, mainly driven by indexation and reversion on renegotiations and expiring leases.
The Group has put measures in place to limit service charge leakage, which resulted in the improvement of the Net Rental Income to Rental Income ratio from 95.5% in 9M-2023 to 97.4% in 9M-2024. Consequently, the Net Rental Income increased 18.2% y-o-y.
在 CTP 投资组合产生的租金收入中,越来越多的部分受益于通胀保护。自 2019 年底起,集团的所有新租赁协议都包含双重指数化条款,即每年的租金涨幅按以下两项中的较高者计算:
- 每年固定增加 1.5%-2.5% ;或
- 消费者价格指数[1].
As at 30 September 2024, 70% of income generated by the Group’s portfolio includes this double indexation clause, and the Group expects this to increase further.
The reversionary potential stayed stable at 15.1%. New leases have been signed continuously above ERV’s, illustrating continued strong market rental growth and supporting valuations.
The annualised rental income came to €702.0 million as at 30 September 2024, an increase of 19.3% y-o-y, showcasing the strong cash flow growth of CTP’s investment portfolio.
9M-2024 developments delivered with a 10.1% YoC and 95% let at delivery
CTP continued its disciplined investment in its highly profitable pipeline. In the first 9 months, the Group completed 545,000 sqm of GLA (9M-2023: 566,000 sqm), slightly below last year when several projects came online that were postponed during the year 2022 due to the higher construction costs. The developments were delivered at a YoC of 10.1%, 95% let and will generate contracted annual rental income of €33.0 million, with another €2.0 million of expected income when these reach full occupancy.
Some of the main deliveries during the first 9 months of 2024 were: 169,000 sqm in CTPark Warsaw West (Poland), 48,000 sqm in CTPark Zabrze (Poland), 37,000 sqm in CTPark Budapest Ecser (Hungary), 37,000 sqm in CTPark Novi Sad East (Serbia), 30,000 sqm in CTPark Weiden (Germany), 26,000 sqm in CTPark Bucharest West (Romania), 27,000 sqm in CTPark Katowice (Poland) and 23,000 sqm in CTPark Arad West (Romania).
While average construction costs in 2022 were around €550 per sqm, in 2023 and 9M-2024 they came to €500 per sqm. CTP expects them to stay around this level through 2024. This allows the Group to continue to deliver its industry-leading YoC above 10%, which is also supported by CTP’s unique park model and in-house construction and procurement expertise.
As at 30 September 2024, the Group had 1.9 million sqm of buildings under construction with a potential rental income of €142 million and an expected YoC of 10.4%. CTP has a long track record of delivering sustainable growth through its tenant-led development in its existing parks. 76% of the Group’s projects under construction are in existing parks, while 15% are in new parks which have the potential to be developed to more than 100,000 sqm of GLA. Planned 2024 deliveries are 64% pre-let. CTP expects to reach 80%-90% pre-letting at delivery, in line with historical performance. As CTP acts in most markets as general contractor, it is fully in control of the process and timing of deliveries, allowing the Company to speed-up or slow-down depending on tenant demand, while also offering tenants flexibility in terms of building requirements.
In 2024 the Group is expecting to deliver between 1.2 – 1.3 million sqm, depending on tenant demand. The 177,000 sqm of leases that are currently signed for future projects, construction of which hasn’t started yet, are a further illustration of continued occupier demand.
CTP’s landbank amounted to 27.1 million sqm as at 30 September 2024 (31 December 2023: 23.4 million sqm), which allows the Company to reach its target of 20 million sqm GLA by the end of the decade. The Group is focusing on mobilising the existing landbank, while maintaining disciplined capital allocation in landbank replenishment. 60% of the landbank is located within CTP’s existing parks, while 30% is in, or is adjacent to, new parks which have the potential to grow to more than 100,000 sqm. 23% of the landbank was secured by options, while the remaining 77% was owned and accordingly reflected in the balance sheet.
Assuming a build-up ratio of 2 sqm of land to 1 sqm of GLA, CTP can build over 13 million sqm of GLA on its secured landbank. CTP’s land is held on balance sheet at around €50 per sqm and construction costs amount on average to approximately €500 per sqm, bringing total investment costs to approximately €600 per sqm. The Group’s standing portfolio, excluding the older former Deutsche Industrie REIT portfolio, is valued around €1,000 per sqm.
能源业务货币化
CTP 继续实施其光伏系统推广扩张计划。该集团的目标是这些投资的 YoC 为 15%,平均成本约为每兆瓦时 75 万欧元。
During the first 9 months, the Group installed an additional 19 MWp on the roof, which are currently being connected to the grid. The total installed capacity now stands at 119 MWp.
In 9M-2024 the revenues from renewable energy came to €6.0 million, up 10% y-o-y.
随着越来越多的租户要求使用光伏系统,CTP 的可持续发展目标也随之实现,因为光伏系统可为租户提供 i) 更好的能源安全;ii) 更低的使用成本;iii) 符合更严格的法规;iv) 符合客户要求;v) 能够实现其自身的 ESG 目标。
估值结果受产品线和正重估基础投资组合推动
Investment Property (“IP”) valuation increased from €12.0 billion as at 31 December 2023 to €13.4 billion as at 30 September 2024, driven mainly by the transfer of completed projects from Investment Property under Development (“IPuD”) to IP, accretive acquisitions and positive revaluations.
IPuD increased by 18.9% to €1.6 billion as at 30 September 2024, driven by progress on developments with most of the projects to be delivered in the fourth quarter of the year, as usual.
GAV increased to €15.2 billion as at 30 September 2024, up 11.8% compared to 31 December 2023.
For the Q1 and Q3 results, only the IPuD projects are revalued. The Q3-2024 revaluation was €167.4 million, which brings the revaluation in the first 9 months to €604.1 million, driven by the positive revaluation of IPuD projects (+€351.2 million), landbank (+€26.1 million), and the standings assets (+€226.9 million).
The Group’s portfolio has conservative valuation yields, with 80bps of reversionary yield widening in the last two years, bringing it to 7.2%. CTP expects yields to have peaked in the Industrial & Logistics sector in the CEE region. With the larger yield movements in Western European markets, the yield differential between CEE and Western European logistics is back to the long-term average. CTP expects the yield differential to decrease further overtime, driven by the higher growth expectations for the CEE region.
CTP expects further positive ERV growth on the back of continued tenant demand, which is positively impacted by the secular growth drivers in the CEE region. CEE rental levels remain affordable; and despite the strong growth seen, they have started from significantly lower absolute levels than in Western European countries. In real terms, rents in many CEE markets are still below 2010 levels.
EPRA NTA per share increased from €15.92 as at 31 December 2023 to €17.52 as at 30 September 2024, representing an increase of 10.1%. The increase is mainly driven by the revaluation (+€1.29), Company specific adjusted EPRA EPS (+€0.60), partly offset by the dividend paid out (-€0.28).
稳健的资产负债表和强劲的流动性
按照积极稳健的方针,集团拥有稳健的流动资金,以固定的债务成本和保守的还款方式,为实现增长目标提供资金支持。
During first 9 months of the year, the Group raised €1.8 billion:
- A €100 million six-year secured loan facility with a syndicate of Italian and Czech banks at a fixed all-in cost of 4.9%;
- A €750 million six-year green bond at MS +220 bps at a coupon of 4.75%;
- 与奥地利一家银行签订了一份 9000 万欧元的七年期担保贷款协议,固定总成本为 4.9%;
- 与斯洛伐克和奥地利银行财团签订了一份为期七年的 1.68 亿欧元担保贷款协议,固定总成本为 5.1%;
- A €75 million tap of the six-year green bond issued in February 2024 at MS +171 bps;
- A €500 million five-year unsecured loan facility with a syndicate of international banks at a fixed all-in cost of 4.7%; and
- A €150 million seven-year secured loan facility top-up with a syndicate of Italian and Czech banks at a fixed all-in cost of 4.35%.
During the year CTP also completed two bond tender offers, buying back €750 million of short-dated bonds, realizing a capital gain of €31.9 million, reducing 2025 and 2026 debt maturities and proactively extending its maturity profile.
The Group’s liquidity position stood at €1.8 billion, comprised of €1.3 billion of cash and cash equivalents, and an undrawn RCF of €550 million.
CTP’s average cost of debt stood at 2.73% (31 December 2023: 1.95%), with 99.7% of the debt fixed or hedged until maturity. The Group doesn’t capitalise interest on developments, therefore all interest expenses are included in the P&L. The average debt maturity came to 5.0 years (31 December 2023: 5.3 years).
集团第一笔即将到期的重要贷款为 2.72 亿欧元[2] 该债券将于 2025 年 6 月到期,将从可用现金储备中偿还。
CTP’s LTV came to 44.9% as at 30 September 2024, down from 46.2% at 30 June 2024, thanks to the ABB[3]. CTP expects the LTV to trend lower, as the revaluations of the Group’s developments are fully booked.
The Group’s higher yielding assets, thanks to their gross portfolio yield of 6.5%, lead to a healthy level of cash flow leverage that is also reflected in the normalised Net Debt to EBITDA of 9.0x (31 December 2023: 9.2x), which the Group targets to keep below 10x.
The Group had 59% unsecured debt and 41% secured debt as at 30 September 2024, with ample headroom under its Secured Debt Test and Unencumbered Asset Test covenants.
As pricing in the bond market rationalised, the conditions are now more competitive than the pricing in the bank lending market, which will allow the Group to re-balance more towards unsecured lending.
30 September 2024 | 公约 | |
担保债务测试 | 19.5% | 40% |
未支配资产测试 | 190.6% | 125% |
利息保障比率 | 2.75x | 1.5x |
In Q3-2024, both Moody’s and S&P confirmed, respectively, CTP’s Baa3 and BBB- credit rating with a stable outlook.
Dividend and Guidance confirmed
Leasing dynamics remain strong, with robust occupier demand, and decreasing new supply leading to continued rental growth. CTP is well positioned to benefit from these trends. The Group’s pipeline is highly profitable, and tenant led. The YoC for CTP’s pipeline increased to 10.4%, thanks to decreasing construction costs and rental growth. The next stage of growth is built in and financed, with 1.9 million sqm under construction as at 30 September 2024, with a target to deliver between 1.2 – 1.3 million sqm in 2024.
CTP 稳健的资本结构、严格的财务政策、强大的信贷市场准入、行业领先的土地储备、内部建筑专业知识和深厚的租户关系使 CTP 能够实现其目标。在开发竣工、指数化和复归的推动下,CTP 预计到 2027 年租金收入将达到 10 亿欧元,并有望在本世纪末达到 2000 万平方米的 GLA 和 12 亿欧元的租金收入。
The Group confirms its €0.80 – €0.82 Company specific adjusted EPRA EPS guidance for 2024, which due to the increase in shares following the ABB in September is expected towards the lower end.
CTP 的股息政策是按公司具体调整后的 EPRA EPS 的 70% - 80% 派发股息。默认股息为以股代息,但股东也可以选择以现金支付股息。
面向分析师和投资者的网络广播和电话会议
今天上午 9 点(格林尼治标准时间)和上午 10 点(欧洲中部时间),公司将通过网络直播和电话音频会议为分析师和投资者举行视频演示和问答会。
要观看网络直播,请提前在以下网址注册:
https://www.investis-live.com/ctp/6707916fb2cedb000e393936/laper
如需通过电话参加演讲,请拨以下任一号码并输入与会者接入代码 427163.
Germany +49 32 22109 8334
France +33 9 70 73 39 58
The Netherlands +31 85 888 7233
United Kingdom +44 20 3936 2999
United States +1 646 787 9445
按 *1 可提问,按 *2 可撤回问题,按 *0 则可获得接线员帮助。
演讲结束后 24 小时内可在 CTP 网站上查阅录音: https://www.ctp.eu/investors/financial-reports/
CTP 财务日历
行动 | 日期 |
2024 财年结果 | 2025 年 2 月 27 日 |
年度大会 | 22 April 2025 |
Q1-2025 results | 8 May 2025 |
H1-2025 results | 7 August 2025 |
Capital Market Days | 24-25 September 2025 |
Q3-2025 results | 6 November 2025 |
分析师和投资者咨询的详细联系方式:
投资者关系主管 Maarten Otte
手机: +420 730 197 500+420 730 197 500
电子邮件: maarten.otte@ctp.eu
媒体垂询联系方式:
Patryk Statkiewicz,集团营销与公关负责人
手机: +31 (0) 629 596 119+31 (0) 629 596 119
电子邮件: patryk.statkiewicz@ctp.eu
关于 CTP
CTP is Europe’s largest listed owner, developer, and manager of logistics and industrial real estate by gross lettable area, owning 12.6 million sqm of GLA across 10 countries as at 30 September 2024. CTP certifies all new buildings to BREEAM Very good or better and earned a negligible-risk ESG rating by Sustainalytics, underlining its commitment to being a sustainable business. For more information, visit CTP’s corporate website: www.ctp.eu
免责声明
本公告包含若干有关 CTP 财务状况、经营业绩和业务的前瞻性陈述。这些前瞻性表述可以通过使用前瞻性术语来识别,包括 "相信"、"估计"、"计划"、"项目"、"预计"、"期望"、"打算"、"目标"、"可能"、"旨在"、"可能"、"会"、"可能"、"可以"、"可以有"、"将 "或 "应该 "等术语,或在每种情况下,其反义词或其他变体或类似术语。前瞻性陈述可能而且经常与实际结果存在实质性差异。因此,不应对任何前瞻性声明施加不当影响。本新闻稿包含 2014 年 4 月 16 日欧盟第 596/2014 号法规(《市场滥用法规》)第 7(1)条所定义的内部信息。
[1] 结合当地和欧盟 27 国/欧元区 CPI,上限数量有限。
[2] 2024年6月28日要约收购结算后未偿还金额。
[3] At 30 September 2024, only the €227 million of free-float shares where settled, the €73 million shares subscribed by the CEO and founder were settled in the first week of October following the dividend payment
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